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Despite the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukraine's retail, food processing, and food service sectors are functioning. The retail industry is working to maintain an assortment of imported products.
The Caribbean Basin region continues to experience growth, driven primarily by the steady rise in tourism, which in turn impacts consumer demand.
Consistently ranking as the top Southeast Asia destination for U.S. consumer-oriented agricultural products, the Philippines presents a resilient market for U.S. food and beverage products, supported by a young workforce with high disposable income, a growing middle-income consumer base, and remittances from overseas workers.
FAS Manila maintains its overall forecast for milled rice and wheat in Marketing Year (MY) 2025/26, while increasing its forecast for corn production, area harvested, and consumption.
Post forecasts a 10 percent growth in fuel ethanol imports to 450 million liters in 2025, prompted by gasoline pool increases and uptake of voluntary E20 (20 percent ethanol blended to gasoline).
In April 2025, Ukraine eliminated all exceptions to the enforcement of food safety regulations for commercial imports which were put in place at the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war.
No new bilateral certificates were negotiated from the second half of 2024 through the first half of 2025. The Export Certificate Matrix includes only bilaterally negotiated certificates.
On June 10, 2025, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announced the revised definitions and conversion rates for carcass and offal of selected livestock and poultry animals.
On June 10, 2025, the Philippine Health Secretary temporarily suspended the implementation of new fees and charges for services under the Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) jurisdiction due to concerns from various sectors.
Major bulk commodities, as a share of total U.S. agricultural exports, have risen and fallen dramatically since 2020. Beyond short-term price volatilities that have largely driven these developments, changes to the largest overseas market and an increasingly competitive landscape also affect the prospect for major U.S. bulk exports.
The 2024 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2024 calendar year.
Post forecasts marketing year (MY) 2025/26 sugar production at 1.5 million metric tons, a 17 percent decrease from Post's previous MY estimate. The main factor is uncertainty over the EU’s trade policy toward Ukraine past June 2025.