Philippines: Biofuels Annual

Post forecasts a 10 percent growth in fuel ethanol imports to 450 million liters in 2025, prompted by gasoline pool increases and uptake of voluntary E20 (20 percent ethanol blended to gasoline). Post forecasts a 2 percent growth in production to 390 million liters as feedstock problems remain. Post estimates fuel ethanol consumption growth at 5 percent in 2025 on top of the 10 percent growth realized in 2024. The implementation of higher biodiesel blend to B4 (4 percent biodiesel) in 2025 will result in a 49 percent growth in consumption to 400 million liters. Consumption estimate will go down to 360 million liters if B4 implementation will be suspended in 2025. The National Biofuels Board agreed to pass a resolution to suspend the B4 and B5 implementation due to high prices of coconut oil. Official announcement on B4 and B5 suspension is still pending. There is no sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production, but the Philippines is exploring coconut oil as a potential feedstock to future SAF production.