Ukraine: Poultry and Products Semi-annual

Ukrainian chicken meat production continues its slow recovery in 2025, approaching pre-February 2022 production levels. Ukraine’s largest producer, MHP SE, reports stable production at full capacity. Limited production growth is possible through fine-tuning production processes and production increases by smaller producers. The negative impacts of electricity outages, workforce mobilization, and other Russia-Ukraine war-related factors are currently limited but remain a significant production risk. Post estimates 2025 chicken meat exports will be strong, driven by increased export prices. The Middle East market replaced the EU as the major export destination for Ukrainian chicken meat. The EU’s current autonomous trade measures, which allow for broader market access, will expire in June 2025, which could further restrict access to the EU market. Therefore, Ukrainian exports will shift toward markets with smaller trade margins.