Browse Data and Analysis

Following a lengthy period with a trade surplus, the U.S. trade balance with Indonesia in agricultural products began to reverse in 2021.

Indonesia, Southeast Asia’s largest economy with a population of 282 million, presents significant opportunities for U.S. exporters despite regulatory challenges, declining middle-class purchasing power, and tariff preferences granted to our major competitors.

Brazil’s soybean sector is projected to grow in 2025/26, with post revising the total projected planted area to 49.1 million hectares and estimated production reaching 176 million metric tons in 2026, driven by favorable weather and technological advances.

Brazil will host the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30), to take place in Belém, Pará, from November 10-21, 2025.

Brazil presents growth potential for consumer oriented products, especially among the 40 million high-income consumers who are open to new, quality imports, while the country's robust food processing sector offers significant prospects for inputs of U.S. commodities and ingredients.

Brazil and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are in the initial stages of potentially developing a dedicated soybean supply chain tailored to meet Chinese sustainability and quality standards.

On May 8-9, 2025, FAS Jakarta and U.S. Embassy Dili led the first agricultural trade delegation of U.S. industry groups in Timor-Leste. The delegation met with senior government officials, importers, and private industry to explore opportunities for U.S. commodities.

On May 22, 2025, FAS Jakarta organized the Indonesia Agricultural Biotechnology Showcase highlighting to Government of Indonesia (GOI) officials, university students, and other stakeholders Indonesia’s advances in the field of agricultural biotechnology.

Established in 2006, Brazil’s Soy Moratorium bans the sale of soybeans grown on land deforested in the Amazon biome after July 2008, significantly reducing deforestation linked to soy expansion.

Major bulk commodities, as a share of total U.S. agricultural exports, have risen and fallen dramatically since 2020. Beyond short-term price volatilities that have largely driven these developments, changes to the largest overseas market and an increasingly competitive landscape also affect the prospect for major U.S. bulk exports.

The 2024 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2024 calendar year.

On May 16, 2025, Brazil, the world’s largest chicken meat exporter, reported its first case of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in a commercial plant. The Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock has initiated measures to resolve the case, including a sanitary void period as of May 22nd for 28 days.