Browse Data and Analysis

Despite the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukraine's retail, food processing, and food service sectors are functioning. The retail industry is working to maintain an assortment of imported products.

Brazil’s soybean sector is projected to grow in 2025/26, with post revising the total projected planted area to 49.1 million hectares and estimated production reaching 176 million metric tons in 2026, driven by favorable weather and technological advances.

Brazil will host the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30), to take place in Belém, Pará, from November 10-21, 2025.

Brazil presents growth potential for consumer oriented products, especially among the 40 million high-income consumers who are open to new, quality imports, while the country's robust food processing sector offers significant prospects for inputs of U.S. commodities and ingredients.

In April 2025, Ukraine eliminated all exceptions to the enforcement of food safety regulations for commercial imports which were put in place at the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war.

No new bilateral certificates were negotiated from the second half of 2024 through the first half of 2025. The Export Certificate Matrix includes only bilaterally negotiated certificates.

Brazil and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are in the initial stages of potentially developing a dedicated soybean supply chain tailored to meet Chinese sustainability and quality standards.

Established in 2006, Brazil’s Soy Moratorium bans the sale of soybeans grown on land deforested in the Amazon biome after July 2008, significantly reducing deforestation linked to soy expansion.

Major bulk commodities, as a share of total U.S. agricultural exports, have risen and fallen dramatically since 2020. Beyond short-term price volatilities that have largely driven these developments, changes to the largest overseas market and an increasingly competitive landscape also affect the prospect for major U.S. bulk exports.

On May 16, 2025, Brazil, the world’s largest chicken meat exporter, reported its first case of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in a commercial plant. The Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock has initiated measures to resolve the case, including a sanitary void period as of May 22nd for 28 days.

Post forecasts marketing year (MY) 2025/26 sugar production at 1.5 million metric tons, a 17 percent decrease from Post's previous MY estimate. The main factor is uncertainty over the EU’s trade policy toward Ukraine past June 2025.

Brazilian researcher Dr. Mariangela Hungria will receive the 2025 World Food Prize for her scientific advancements in biological nitrogen fixation, which have transformed soil health and crop nutrition in tropical agriculture.