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Despite the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukraine's retail, food processing, and food service sectors are functioning. The retail industry is working to maintain an assortment of imported products.
The Caribbean Basin region continues to experience growth, driven primarily by the steady rise in tourism, which in turn impacts consumer demand.
Peru is the fourth largest export market for U.S. agricultural products in South America. U.S.-origin food and agricultural product exports to Peru benefit significantly from the U.S. - Peru Trade Promotion Agreement (PTPA).
In April 2025, Ukraine eliminated all exceptions to the enforcement of food safety regulations for commercial imports which were put in place at the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war.
No new bilateral certificates were negotiated from the second half of 2024 through the first half of 2025. The Export Certificate Matrix includes only bilaterally negotiated certificates.
Peruvian total ethanol production in 2025 is forecast at 250 million liters, increasing 2 percent from the previous year. Total ethanol consumption for 2025 is forecast at 304 million liters, a slight increase from the previous year.
Major bulk commodities, as a share of total U.S. agricultural exports, have risen and fallen dramatically since 2020. Beyond short-term price volatilities that have largely driven these developments, changes to the largest overseas market and an increasingly competitive landscape also affect the prospect for major U.S. bulk exports.
Post forecasts marketing year (MY) 2025/26 sugar production at 1.5 million metric tons, a 17 percent decrease from Post's previous MY estimate. The main factor is uncertainty over the EU’s trade policy toward Ukraine past June 2025.
Peru’s coffee production in marketing year (MY) 2025/2026 is forecast to rebound by eight percent reaching, 4.2 million 60-kg bags. Domestic coffee consumption during this period is projected at 300,000 60-kg bags.
Ukraine’s fish and seafood imports from the United States reached a 10-year high in 2024. The United States retained its position as Ukraine’s third largest supplier of seafood with exports exceeding $96 million.
FAS Lima forecasts Peruvian blueberry production in marketing year (MY) 2025/26 (May 2025 to April 2026) to reach a record 355,000 metric tons (MT), with exports expected to reach 335,000 MT.
Peruvian avocado exports are estimated to reach 630,000 metric tons (MT) in calendar year (CY) 2025, increasing two percent compared to the previous year.