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In 2024, Mexico was the largest market for U.S. agricultural products and the only market to reach over $30 billion in agricultural exports. Market opportunities continue to expand with U.S. consumer-oriented products increasing by 13 percent.
In 2024, Mexico imported more than 35 million metric tons of grains from the United States. The North American freight rail network is an increasingly important mode of transport for handling the growth in this trade.
Stronger local white corn prices and rising demand for rice and sorghum are expected to drive increased production in marketing year 2025/2026.
Mexico’s potato production is estimated at 2.28 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year (MY) 2025/26 (July 1 – June 30), four percent higher than the estimated MY 2024/25 production due to seasonal rains in several potato-producing states in mid-2024, easing drought conditions.
Guatemala’s imports of consumer-oriented products continue to grow, reaching $886 million in 2024, a 14 percent increase that surpassed imports of bulk and intermediate products by nearly 50 percent.
Mexico’s 2025 tomato production is forecast at 3.1 million metric tons (MMT), a three percent decrease year-on-year based on continuing drought conditions in the main production areas and lower projected planting for the autumn-winter season.
The 2024 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2024 calendar year.
Mexico’s dairy sector is projected to grow modestly in 2025, supported by better feed and water access, herd expansion, and ongoing efficiency gains. Production is expected to rise despite 2023–2024 drought impacts and New World Screwworm infestations in southern Mexico.
Mexico's coffee production is forecast to reach 3.9 million green bean equivalent in the 2025/26 marketing year. This slight increase from the previous year is attributed to planting incentives driven by favorable coffee prices and ongoing efforts to improve coffee varieties.
Guatemala’s coffee production areas remain stable, with gradual increases in output as ongoing renovation efforts begin to show results.
Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.4 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2025/26 (October 1 – September 30), 6 percent higher than the estimate for MY 2024/25. The increased production forecast is based on seasonal rains in several sugarcane-producing states during MY 2024/25 and an expected recovery of the planted area in MY 2025/26.
In MY 2023/24, Guatemala ranked as the world’s second most efficient sugarcane producer and fourth in overall sugar production efficiency. For MY 2025/26, production is forecast to remain steady, with planted and harvested areas unchanged from the previous two years, and growth expected in MY 2026/27.