Browse Data and Analysis

In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, production of grains is forecast to increase 30 percent year-over-year on an increase in area planted to spring wheat, durum, and oats, and on the assumption of improved soil moisture conditions resulting in higher yields. However, dry conditions persist in Alberta and Western Saskatchewan and many farmers are behind in their planting schedule, due to unfavorable planting conditions.

On April 14, the Ministry of Agriculture approved the “Regarding export of certain goods from the territory of the Republic of Kazakhstan” decree outlining wheat and wheat flour export restrictions valid until June 15, 2022.

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) has provided notice that CFIA will modernize the approach for import requirements for pet chews made from animal products and by-products.

FAS-Nur-Sultan forecasts no significant change to wheat planted area for MY2022/23. Kazakhstan introduced wheat and wheat flour exports restrictions until June 15, 2022, however the government has made public assurances that it plans to supply regional markets given high wheat prices and production challenges in Ukraine and Russia.

The Ministry of Agriculture proposed a national agricultural sector development project plan for 2021-2025 to increase the sector's competitiveness by improving labor efficiency, increasing agricultural exports, and domestically producing "socially significant food products."

The 2021 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world.

Canola ending stocks are forecast to close marketing year (MY) 2021/22 at just 15 percent of the five-year average, driven by reduced yield due to drought and strong global demand for oilseeds. Assuming a return to average yields, canola exports are forecast to nearly double in MY 2022/23, driven by strong global demand for oilseeds and a rebuilding of exportable supplies.

Following a special review decision of chlorothalonil, Canada’s Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA) has proposed to cancel the use of chlorothalonil on food crops and other outdoor uses as well as the revocation of al chlorothalonil maximum residue limits (MRLs).

On March 21, 2022, the Health Canada Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA) opened a consultation on a facet of their Transformation Agenda concerning a target review of aspects of the Pest Control Products Act.

The ongoing contraction of the Canadian cattle herd is expected to continue in 2022. Canadian live cattle exports are forecast to decline on a smaller calf crop. High feed costs and limited availability will see live exports outpace 2021 through the first half of 2022.