Browse Data and Analysis

Brazil’s total coffee production for marketing year 2025/26 (July-June) is forecast at 65 million bags (60 kilograms per bag), green bean equivalent, a 0.5 percent increase over the previous crop year.

In Marketing Year (MY) 2025/2026, Colombian coffee production is forecast to decrease 5.3 percent to 12.5 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE), mainly as a result of heavy rains.

FAS Bogota estimates marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 Colombian coffee production at 12.9 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE), 1.1 percent higher from the previous year revised figure, reflecting continued recovery from favorable weather conditions and producers adopting improved agronomic practices to mitigate climate change shocks.

Brazil’s MY 2024/25 total coffee production is forecast at 66.4 million bags, 0.2 percent higher than the previous season. This timid growth comes in the aftermath of a strong period of adverse weather conditions in the main producing regions, which led to a decrease in initial estimates for the season.

Brazil’s total coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 (July-June) is forecast at 69.9 million bags (60 kilograms per bag), green bean equivalent, a 5.4 percent increase over the previous crop year.

In MY 2024/2025, Colombian coffee production is anticipated to reach 12.4 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE). However, the pace of production recovery is hindered by El Niño, which has led to increased rates of borer infestation and affected some crops.

In market year (MY) 2023/2024, Colombia's coffee production is expected to recover to 11.5 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE) given drier conditions and improved sunlight resulting from the El Niño phenomenon.

Post decreases the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) to 66.3 million 60-kg bags, based on a projected decline in robusta/conilon production. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.9 million bags, a 12.8 percent increase over the previous season, due to an increase in planted area and higher yield.

Post forecasts the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) at 66.4 million 60-kg bags, an increase of 3.8 million bags compared to the previous crop. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.7 million bags, an increase of 12 percent from the previous season due to favorable weather conditions in growing regions.

In marketing year (MY) 2023/24, Colombian coffee production is forecast to increase by 3 percent to 11.6 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE) coffee driven by improving weather conditions, which have hurt production over the past two years.

The Agricultural Trade Office (ATO)/Sao Paulo estimate for the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 (July-June) was revised downward to 62.6 million 60-kg bags, a decrease of 1.7 million bags relative to the previous estimate, due to lower output in Arabica production.

Excessive rains and cloudiness in the last two years have suppressed Colombia's coffee production. In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, Post forecasts Colombian production at 12.6 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE) coffee. Although local prices remain high, weather conditions are expected to continue affecting crop productivity.