Browse Data and Analysis

Marketing year 2025/26 production is forecast to increase to 31 million bags of green bean equivalent.

FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2025/26 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at six million 60-kilogram bags. A dry spell during January and February, followed by strong winds and excessive pre-monsoon rains in March and May,

Rising coffee prices have motivated farmers to increase investments in coffee farming, helping recovery from the early summer drought this year and reducing harvest and post-harvest loss.

FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2024/25 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at 6.2 million 60-kilogram bags, four percent higher than the previous forecast due to plentiful southwest monsoon rains that will improve Robusta crop yields.

MY2024/25 coffee production is forecast at 29 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE) as higher coffee prices encourage coffee farmers to invest more in production, helping to stabilize production.

FAS India forecasts marketing year (MY) 2024/25 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at 6 million 60-kilogram bags. Deficit pre-monsoon rains (Mar/May) are expected to negatively impact yields, as fruit setting drops significantly in major growing regions.

MY 2023/24 coffee production is lowered 3.8 million bags to 27.5 million bags due to unfavorable weather conditions as a result of climate change and El Nino climate patterns.

FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2023/24 (October-September) India coffee production at 5.9 million 60-kilogram bags, two percent higher than the previous estimate. Dry conditions from October through December are expected to result in higher Arabica yields, with less incidence of berry droppings and damage.

Post revised its Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) coffee production estimate down to 29.750 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), based on lower yields, high production costs, and a drop in cultivation area.

FAS Mumbai (Post) forecasts marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 coffee production (October-September) at 5.8 million 60-kilogram bags.

FAS India forecasts marketing year (MY) 2022/23 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at 6.25 million 60-kilogram bags, nine percent higher than the official USDA estimate on above normal southwest monsoon rains (Jun/Sep) expected to improve yields, especially for Robusta varieties in major growing regions.

Post revises its estimate of Vietnam marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) coffee production down to 30.22 million bags, green bean equivalent (GBE), due to lower yields, despite abundant rainfall that supported the flowering and cherry setting stages.