Browse Data and Analysis

Ethiopia’s coffee production for marketing year 2025/26 is projected to reach 11.6 million 60-kg bags, supported by favorable weather, increased productivity from rejuvenated aging trees, and the use of improved inputs such as high-yielding seedlings.

Despite market volatility, and unstable policies, the European Union remains the largest importer of Tanzanian green coffee beans, buying six times as many beans as the United States.

Brazil’s total coffee production for marketing year 2025/26 (July-June) is forecast at 65 million bags (60 kilograms per bag), green bean equivalent, a 0.5 percent increase over the previous crop year.

FAS/Nairobi forecasts a 13.3 percent increase in Kenya’s coffee production in the marketing year (MY) 2025/26 to 850,000 bags due to improved farm practices, as farmers respond to high prices in MY 2024/25.

FAS/Nairobi forecasts Uganda’s coffee production for the marketing year (MY) 2025/26 to increase by 2.61 percent, reaching 6.88 million 60-kilogram bags (green bean equivalent).

Brazil’s MY 2024/25 total coffee production is forecast at 66.4 million bags, 0.2 percent higher than the previous season. This timid growth comes in the aftermath of a strong period of adverse weather conditions in the main producing regions, which led to a decrease in initial estimates for the season.

Post forecasts Tanzania’s coffee production at 1.5 million bags (60-kilogram) in the marketing year (MY) 2024/25, up from 1.4 million bags in MY 2023/24, due to increased production from recently rehabilitated plantations.

FAS/Nairobi forecasts Uganda’s coffee production in the Marketing Year (MY) 2024/25 to reach 6.9 million bags (60 kg), an increase of 40,000 bags from the previous year, due to adoption of good agricultural practices, targeted interventions to combat pest and disease outbreaks, and maturation of new high-yielding seedlings planted in recent years.

FAS Nairobi forecasts Kenya’s marketing year (MY) 2024/25 coffee production at 750,000 bags (60 kilograms), a 6.3 percent decrease from the previous marketing year, due to stagnation of harvested area and yield decline.

Brazil’s total coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 (July-June) is forecast at 69.9 million bags (60 kilograms per bag), green bean equivalent, a 5.4 percent increase over the previous crop year.

Post decreases the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) to 66.3 million 60-kg bags, based on a projected decline in robusta/conilon production. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.9 million bags, a 12.8 percent increase over the previous season, due to an increase in planted area and higher yield.

Post forecasts the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) at 66.4 million 60-kg bags, an increase of 3.8 million bags compared to the previous crop. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.7 million bags, an increase of 12 percent from the previous season due to favorable weather conditions in growing regions.