Browse Data and Analysis

Despite market volatility, and unstable policies, the European Union remains the largest importer of Tanzanian green coffee beans, buying six times as many beans as the United States.

Mexico's coffee production is forecast to reach 3.9 million green bean equivalent in the 2025/26 marketing year. This slight increase from the previous year is attributed to planting incentives driven by favorable coffee prices and ongoing efforts to improve coffee varieties.

Post forecasts Tanzania’s coffee production at 1.5 million bags (60-kilogram) in the marketing year (MY) 2024/25, up from 1.4 million bags in MY 2023/24, due to increased production from recently rehabilitated plantations.

Mexico’s coffee production for marketing year 2024/25 is forecast at 3.89 million 60-kilogram bags. This represents a slight increase from previous years, driven by incentives to plant due to favorable coffee prices and ongoing efforts to improve coffee varieties.

MY 2023/24 coffee production is forecast to increase 21 percent to 1.35 million bags due to a recovery from drought conditions and trees entering the most productive period of their three-year yield cycle.

The United States remains the top export market for Mexican coffee, including green, roasted, and soluble coffee.

MY 2022/23 coffee production is expected to decrease 4 percent to 1.15 million bags due to high fertilizer prices and dry conditions at the beginning of the marketing year. Post forecasts MY 2022/23 exports will decline 4 percent to 1.05 million bags due to lower exportable supplies.

Mexico coffee production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is projected at 3.84 million 60 kg/bags, on optimal weather conditions during the fruit development stage in the top producing states that will improve yields, and sustained strong global prices that will incentivize optimal harvest.

Mexico coffee production for marketing year (MY) 2021/22 is forecast at similar levels to the previous MY, due to labor shortages and ongoing drought conditions in some states that are degrading tree and soil health.

MY 2021/22 coffee production is expected to increase by 3.7 percent to 1.4 million bags due to increased fertilizer use, improved extension services, and an anticipated high-producing period of the crop-bearing cycle.

In addition to preferential tariffs within the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), Mexico has two coffee import programs managed by the Secretariat of Economy in which U.S. exporters...

The United States is buying green coffee beans from Tanzania, despite a coffee market that is volatile and faces dramatic political hurdles and unstable policies.