Browse Data and Analysis

FAS/Nairobi forecasts a 13.3 percent increase in Kenya’s coffee production in the marketing year (MY) 2025/26 to 850,000 bags due to improved farm practices, as farmers respond to high prices in MY 2024/25.

FAS Nairobi forecasts Kenya’s marketing year (MY) 2024/25 coffee production at 750,000 bags (60 kilograms), a 6.3 percent decrease from the previous marketing year, due to stagnation of harvested area and yield decline.

Kenya’s marketing year (MY) 2023/24 coffee production is forecast to increase 6.7 percent to 800,000 bags due to a recovery from drought conditions and higher fertilizer application.

Kenya’s MY2022/23 coffee production is forecast to decrease by 10 percent to 700,000 bags due to lower yields caused by reduced fertilizer application. MY 2022/23 area planted is anticipated to remain flat at 105,000 hectares as new plantings are curtailed by a shortage of coffee seeds.

FAS Nairobi forecasts Kenya’s coffee production will increase in marketing year 2021/22 due to anticipated good weather and improved farm practices in response to higher prices.

FAS/ Nairobi forecasts a stagnation in Kenya’s coffee production in marketing year (MY) 2020/2021, due to weather patterns that have curtailed flowering in the key coffee growing regions.

The Venezuelan coffee sector is struggling with shortages of fuel, agro-chemicals, and replacement parts. In MY 2020/21, post forecasts continued decreases in production based on input limitations.

While demand for Kenya coffee in the world remains steady, with the United States being one of the top export destinations, the future of Kenya’s coffee production is uncertain.

FAS/Nairobi forecasts a stagnation in Kenya's coffee production in marketing year (MY) 2018/2019 due to the start of a production slump that is associated with coffee’s biennial bearing cycle.

Economic mismanagement and an overdependence on oil exports have led to Venezuela’s economy contracting for the fourth year in a row, down an estimated 15 percent in calendar year (CY) 2017.

FAS/Nairobi forecasts Kenya's coffee production will increase modestly in the marketing year (MY) 2017/2018 due to a recovery of farms from the drought conditions in MY 2016/2017....

Production of domestic coffee in MY 2016/17 is expected to barely increase to 530,000 bags (1 bag=60 Kilograms) of green bean equivalent (GBE).