Browse Data and Analysis

Post estimates India’s ethanol production in calendar year (CY) 2025 to reach 10.5 billion liters (BL), marking a 46 percent increase over 2024 due to improved feedstock availability and favorable monsoon conditions.

The 2024 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2024 calendar year.

Colombia’s ethanol consumption in 2024 is projected to increase to 728 million liters, mainly owing to the government’s restored 10 percent ethanol mandate (E10). Heightened ethanol demand is expected to be met through imports, primarily from the United States, despite the countervailing duty on U.S. fuel ethanol.

FAS New Delhi expects India’s ethanol production for 2024 to reach 6.35 billion liters (BL), less than a 1 percent change down from last year due to projected decline in sugarcane production and depleting rice grain storage.

The 2023 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2023 calendar year.

India is the world’s most populous country and boasts one of the fastest growing economies in the world. As Indian households continue to reach higher levels of consumer spending, imported agricultural products are becoming more accessible to a larger number of people.

India’s average ethanol blending rate with petroleum for calendar year 2023 is estimated at 11.5 percent. The National Biofuels Policy of India, amended in May 2022, strengthens efforts to increase domestic ethanol output from sugarcane and multi-feed stocks by expediting pace toward blending goals.

In 2023, ethanol production is forecast to recover to 380 million liters due to better weather conditions. In 2022, ethanol production decreased as adverse weather conditions and high sugar prices led to local producers prioritizing sugar production.

The 2022 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2022 calendar year.

On March 15, 2023, the Colombian Ministry of Trade, Industry and Tourism (MINCIT) ignored its own Essential Facts report and issued a final ruling in its countervailing duty (CVD) expiry review investigation of U.S. ethanol, extending the original investigation's $0.066/kg ($0.20 per gallon) duty on imported U.S. ethanol for the next five years.

In 2022, Colombia's fuel ethanol and biodiesel production are estimated to decrease to 360 million liters and 700 million liters, respectively, as a result of adverse weather conditions and lower blend mandates.

India’s average ethanol blending rate with petroleum for calendar year 2022 is estimated at 9.3 percent. India’s position as a structural surplus sugar producer and gradual utilization of alternative feedstocks will drive supply, while a 35 percent increase in offtakes by parastatal oil marketing companies for ethanol blending will drive demand.