Browse Data and Analysis

Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.4 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2025/26 (October 1 – September 30), 6 percent higher than the estimate for MY 2024/25. The increased production forecast is based on seasonal rains in several sugarcane-producing states during MY 2024/25 and an expected recovery of the planted area in MY 2025/26.

Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.4 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2024/25 (October 1 – September 30).

Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.5 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2024/25 (October 1 – September 30), 13 percent higher than the estimate for MY 2023/24.

The U.S.-Japan Trade Agreement (USJTA) entered Year 5 of the agreement implementation on April 1, 2023.

Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.95 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 (October 1 – September 30), 8 percent higher than in MY 2022/23 due to reduced fertilizer prices, but below MY 2021/22 production due to continued widespread drought.

Mexico’s sugar production is forecast at 6.25 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) in marketing year 2023/24 (October-September), an increase of nearly 3 percent compared to MY 2022/23 based on lower fertilizer costs and a return to average weather conditions.

FAS-Mexico forecasts a nearly 6 percent decrease in sugar production to 6.16 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) during marketing year (MY) 2022/23 due to lower rainfall levels and higher input prices. Production for MY2021/22 increased by 8.2 percent to 6.56 MMT-RV, mainly driven by an abundance of rainfall during critical growing months, lower input costs, and historically high prices creating incentives to maintain planted area.

Mexico sugar production and exports are forecasted forecasted marginally higher for 2022/23.

Sugar production in Mexico for marketing year 2021/22 is forecast to rebound from last year’s drought affected season, after ample rain and optimal growing conditions have been observed in much of the country’s cane producing states.

This report is one in a series of product briefs highlighting the tariff benefits for specific commodities and products from Year 3 (2021) to Year 5 (2023) of the agreement.

Mexico sugar production for marketing year (MY) 2021/22 is forecasted slightly lower than MY 2020/21, on continued drought concerns and soil effects in some sugar producing states.

A rebound in Mexican sugar production is forecast for marketing year (MY) 2020/21, after a historic drought decimated the previous year's crop.