Browse Data and Analysis

The cane harvest and crushing continued through November in Brazil's main sugar-producing Center-South (CS) region with good weather and prices. Total sugar production is estimated at 41 million metric tons (MMT) for 2023/24. Exports are estimated at 32 MMT.

Post forecasts Brazil’s marketing year (MY, April – March) 2023/2024 sugarcane crush at 652 million metric tons (MMT), an increase of five percent compared to the final estimate for MY2022/23 (621 MMT).

Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.95 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 (October 1 – September 30), 8 percent higher than in MY 2022/23 due to reduced fertilizer prices, but below MY 2021/22 production due to continued widespread drought.

For marketing year October 2023/September 2024 (MY 2023/24), Post forecasts overall sugar production in the Dominican Republic (DR) to increase slightly to 500,000 metric tons (MT) due to improved rainfall patterns.

Post projects Marketing Year (MY) 2023/24 sugarcane production to drop to 18.9 million metric tons (MMT) due to dry weather and high heat during the southern hemisphere summer.

Sugar production and exports are projected slightly up in marketing year (MY) 2024 (October 2023 to September 2024) because of the increase in productivity yields, harvested area, and additional investments made in the sugar sector and increased exports, as the Honduran Sugar Industry fully recovers from the rainy season in November 2022.

Mexico’s sugar production is forecast at 6.25 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) in marketing year 2023/24 (October-September), an increase of nearly 3 percent compared to MY 2022/23 based on lower fertilizer costs and a return to average weather conditions.

Sugar cane production in MY 2024 (January-December 2023) is forecast at 9.9 MMT, increasing nearly three percent from the MY 2023 estimate.

Brazil’s Marketing Year (MY) 2023/24 sugarcane crop is forecast to reach 661.4 million metric tons (MMT), which is 6.5 percent larger than MY 2022/23, because of favorable weather conditions and high sugar prices.

In marketing year (MY) 2023/24, Colombia’s sugar production is forecast to increase 2.2 percent to 2.35 million metric tons (MT), due to the end of "La Niña" weather phenomena and the beginning of "El Niño" weather phenomena.

Ecuador's sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is forecast to remain at 530,000 MT, the same as the previous year's estimate, despite a significant increase in planted area of sugar cane.

Post forecasts Jamaica’s sugar production down eight percent to 36,000 metric tons (MT) for marketing year (MY) 2023/2024, an outlook that reinforces a trend already underway with past estimates for this waning industry.