Browse Data and Analysis

Post doe snot anticipate major changes to forecast and estimate for Algeria's cereal production. Post anticipates that Algeria's wheat imports will surpass nine million metric tons (MMT) next season.

A larger than average crop this year caused Kazakhstan to introduce export subsidies for shipping wheat to Europe and other Central Asian countries effective through September 1, 2025.

Post anticipates that Algeria’s wheat and barley production will remain stable in the 2025/26 season. Post forecasts Algeria’s wheat imports at above 9 million metric tons (MMT) in the current and next season.

Kazakhstan’s total wheat production has been revised up to 16.5 million metric tons as good weather during last year’s summer vegetative period resulted in a larger than average crop. Barley production estimates are raised slightly to 3.8 million metric tons.

Post maintains Algeria’s cereal planted area and production estimates. Post estimates robust wheat imports for MY 2023/24, surpassing nine million metric tons (MMT).

Biblical rain in Kazakhstan’s major growing regions has cut wheat and barley production, reducing its quantity and quality.

Kazakhstan is expected to have a bumper crop following last year’s troubled production. After heavy rains and flooding in May 2024 delayed planting, Kazakhstan’s primary growing regions have had near perfect weather, greatly raising the outlook for the upcoming fall harvest.

Post maintains Algeria’s wheat and barley harvested areas unchanged in marketing year (MY) 2024/25. Sensory data shows normal vegetation in the central and eastern regions and below normal crop conditions in the western for the MY2024/25 crop.

Wheat production is expected to recover this marketing year as higher soil moisture raises yield. West and North Kazakhstan were impacted by heavy flooding, with the areas of Atyrau, Kostanay, and Almola most negatively affected.

Good vegetation conditions in the east and center regions in Algeria bode for a rebound in MY 2024/25 wheat harvest.

Marketing year 2023/2024 wheat production is expected to drop sharply to around three-quarters of last year’s level as a result of the June drought and excessive rains in the fall of 2023 that affected Kazakhstan’s major grain producing Northern region.

Based on below average rain and soil moisture conditions, Post projects lower than average wheat and barley production for the 2024/25 season. As a result, Post projects wheat imports to remain elevated. Post 2023/24 wheat import estimate aligns with...