Browse Data and Analysis

FAS Rangoon forecasts Burma’s rice and corn production to increase in MY 2025/26 due to improvement in average yield, driven by favorable weather and flood recovery compared to MY 2024/25.

Exporters and importers continue to face much uncertainty due to the military regime’s foreign currency control policies and continuing conflict between the regime and ethnic armed forces. FAS Rangoon forecasts Burma’s MY 2024/25 rice exports to recover to 1.7 MMT amid high stocks and expected relaxation of export controls. MY 2024/25 corn exports and wheat imports will remain flat.

Rice production in Cambodia is forecast to increase due to higher rice prices and the use of higher quality seeds. Rice exports to Vietnam have been surging as Vietnam mills have offered higher prices to Cambodian farmers.

FAS Rangoon (Post) forecasts Burma’s rice exports, corn exports, and wheat import smaller in MY 2023/24. Exporters and importers continue to face a lot of uncertainties with the continuing changing policies on export/import procedures and foreign currency controls.

Foreign Agricultural Service Phnom Penh (Post) forecasts an increase of both rice and corn production in Cambodia due to lower input prices, higher animal feed prices, and a positive outlook on tourist inflow into the Kingdom.

FAS Rangoon forecasts Burma’s corn production lower due to rising production costs, unstable security conditions in some production areas, and unfavorable weather especially in Shan State.

FAS Rangoon (Post) forecasts Burma’s rice and corn exports larger in MY 2022/23 due to strong demand from African, EU, and ASEAN countries. Post forecasts Burma’s wheat imports down in MY 2022/23 due to low domestic demand, restrictions on buying of foreign currency, and changing import policies.

Post revised its Marketing Year 2021/2022 (MY21/22) estimates of the Cambodia rice harvested area and production at 3,335 thousand hectares (THA) and 9.61 million metric tons (MMT), higher than the USDA official numbers.

Burma’s corn production is estimated at 2.57 million metric tons in both MY 2020/21 and MY 2021/22 due to high price incentives.

The Burmese military’s February 1, 2021 coup will negatively impact agricultural trade at least in the short-term due to the country-wide Civil Disobedience Movement, which involves widespread labor strikes in opposition to the military’s action.

South Asia, which includes Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, accounts for 24 percent of the world’s population, with 1.84 billion people in 2019.

For marketing year 2019/2020 (MY19/20), Post revised estimates of harvested area and paddy production to 3,256 thousand hectares (THA) and 9.4 million metric tons (MMT), higher than the USDA...