Browse Data and Analysis

Post forecasts that milk production in 2022 will reduce about five percent, to 23.7 million metric tons (MMT), while in 2023 it is expected to grow around 3.6 percent, reaching 24.5 MMT. Milk consumption in Brazil is expected to fall around four percent, but recover in 2023 by three percent.

Brazil is the fourth-largest export destination for U.S. agricultural and processed products in South America and depends on international suppliers to meet its demand for food processing ingredients, especially specialty products with high added value. These products offer significant opportunities for U.S. companies to supply Brazilian food manufacturers looking to meet the needs of a growing health-conscious consumer market.

Post forecasts an increase in cattle production by 2.8 percent in 2022 and one percent in 2023, driven by global demand, elevated beef prices, and a general trend of expansion in the sector. Nevertheless, increasing production costs, especially feed prices, inflation, and unstable weather are expected to pose challenges to cattle ranchers.

Post forecasts production at 14.85 million metric tons in 2023, up three percent due to strong external demand and improved domestic consumption, setting a historical record. Consumption for 2023 is forecast at 9.85 million metric tons, growing two percent. Brazil is expected to continue to be the world’s largest exporter of chicken meat and Post forecasts a six percent increase for 2023 totaling 5 million metric tons.