Browse Data and Analysis

Despite the lower area anticipated, ample spring precipitations are expected to increase fodder yields in MY 2025/26.

For marketing year (MY) 2025/26, Turkiye’s production of wheat and barley, most of which are dry farmed, is forecast lower year-over-year because of drier-than-normal weather conditions.

Abundant precipitation and mild temperatures prevailing since the beginning of March have favored winter grain crop development and increased yield expectations.

Prospects for winter grain crops in Bulgaria are currently optimistic due to favorable weather and larger planted area.

The United Kingdom (UK) is forecast to have a significant increase in grain crop production in Marketing Year (MY) 2025/26. This is largely driven by a partial recovery in wheat production following a particularly low level of production in MY 2024/25.

Major bulk commodities, as a share of total U.S. agricultural exports, have risen and fallen dramatically since 2020. Beyond short-term price volatilities that have largely driven these developments, changes to the largest overseas market and an increasingly competitive landscape also affect the prospect for major U.S. bulk exports.

The 2024 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2024 calendar year.

On May 1, the Turkish government announced a zero-duty tariff rate quota for 1.0 million metric tons (MMT) of imported corn. The TRQ is effective from the announcement date through the end of July this year.

Unfavorable weather conditions in autumn 2024 resulted in decreased winter wheat area. Functioning maritime logistics in MY2023/24 and the first half of MY2024/25 kept shipping rates stable and have allowed Ukraine to quicky and cost efficiently export large volumes of commodities to distant markets.

Serbia’s overall grain production in MY 2024/25 had mixed results as its winter crops (wheat and barley) experienced bumper crops while corn, soybean and sunflower declined for the third year in a row.

Turkiye’s MY 2025/26 wheat and barley production, most of which are grown without irrigation, are projected to decline year-on-year due to limited rainfall during the fall and winter months and prospects of more dry weather.

In marketing year (MY) 2024/25, Turkiye’s wheat, barley, and corn production is forecast to contract year-over-year due to drier-than-normal weather conditions during the growing season.