Browse Data and Analysis

Despite the weakening of the Thai baht to a four-month low, rice export prices increased 1-3 percent as exporters sought rice supplies to fulfill contracted shipments.

Post forecast Burmese rice exports flat in April due to slow business activities during the long Burmese New Year Holiday, trade inhibiting foreign currency regulations, and high domestic prices.

Rice export prices decreased one percent due to the weakening of the Thai baht.

Australia is expected to produce another big grain crop in marketing year (MY) 2022/23 after a record setting winter crop and strong summer crop production in MY 2021/22. Another favorable set of conditions around the time of winter grain planting across most production regions of Australia bodes well for another big planted area of wheat and barley for MY 2022/23.

FAS Rangoon (Post) forecasts Burma’s rice and corn exports larger in MY 2022/23 due to strong demand from African, EU, and ASEAN countries. Post forecasts Burma’s wheat imports down in MY 2022/23 due to low domestic demand, restrictions on buying of foreign currency, and changing import policies.

Post forecasts overall feed demand to grow in calendar years 2022/23 on par with local livestock and aquaculture production growth. Post forecasts marketing year 2022/2023 (MY 2022/23) wheat imports to decline to 3.90 million metric tons (MMT) due to the war in Ukraine causing high costs and reduced supply of wheat.

Post revised its Marketing Year 2021/2022 (MY21/22) estimates of the Cambodia rice harvested area and production at 3,335 thousand hectares (THA) and 9.61 million metric tons (MMT), higher than the USDA official numbers.

Rice export prices remain unchanged as most rice businesses are closed until next week due to the Thai New Year's holiday.

The 2021 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world.

MY2022/23 wheat production is forecast flat at 6,000 MT, unchanged from the previous two MYs. Australia recovered its market share thanks to drought recovery but the United States remains the chief supplier with 66 percent market share.

Post forecasts that consumption of corn and wheat in Malaysia will marginally increase in Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23, assuming an eventual stabilization of commodity prices following the disruption caused by the crisis in Ukraine.

Rice export prices remain unchanged despite the strengthening of the Thai baht.